صفحة 31 الصفحة في PDF
(١٠٠=٢٠٠٤-٢٠٠٢) ( مؤشر منظمة الأغذية والزراعة للأسعار العالمية للحوم١٠) شكل
FAO Meat Price Indices (١١) جدول
Bovine meat
Ovine meat
Pig Meat
Poultry meat
FAO Meat Price
Index
(2002-2004=100)
165
191
195
197
231
213
191
204
158
232
205
178
202
157
154
194
138
153
153
157
164
126
123
135
179
206
201
206
200
168
156
169
158
183
182
184
198
168
156
170
193
197
202
201
205
206
208
202
204
207
210
208
156
161
161
174
182
203
211
213
221
216
215
211
125
125
130
137
141
143
142
142
139
132
130
129
160
163
165
170
171
173
167
172
171
175
172
165
159
161
165
169
173
176
175
174
174
173
173
170
Sub-indices
PERIOD
Annual
(January/December)
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Monthly
2017-January
2017-February
2017-March
2017-April
2017-May
2017-June
2017-July
2017-August
2017-September
2017-October
2017-November
2017-December
The FAO Meat Price Indices consist of 2 poultry meat product quotations (the average weighted by assumed fixed trade weights), 3 bovine meat product quotations )average weighted by assumed fixed trade weights), 3 pigmeat product quotations (average weighted by assumed fixed trade weights), 1 ovine meat product quotation )average weighted by assumed fixed trade weights): the four meat group average prices are weighted by world average export trade shares for 2002/2004.
٢٤
صفحة 32 الصفحة في PDF
: (*) Meat Market Review اللحوم الحمراء:الأسواق العالمية World meat output ,comprising bovine, pig, poultry and ovine meat, is estimated at 330 million tonnes in 2017, an increase of 1percent from 2016.
Among the main meat producing countries, total meat output expanded in the United States (+2.8%), Brazil (+2.1%,(the Russian Federation (+4%), Argentina (+4.8% ,(Mexico (+3.5%), India (+2.7); stagnated in China and the EU; but declined in South Africa (-2.5%). Across the main meat categories, poultry meat output - the most widely produced meat reached 120.5 million tonnes in 2017 up 1.1 percent from 201 ;٦followed by pigmeat (118.7 million tonnes, +0.7%); bovine meat (70.8 million tonnes, +1.5%); and ovine meat (14.9 million tonnes, +1.3%).
World meat exports in 2017 reached 32.7 million tonnes, 2.7 percent higher than in 2016. Meat exports increased especially in the United States (+5.6%), Turkey (+36.3%), Argentina (+22%) and Thailand (+8.8%), but declined in the EU (-3.4%), Chile (-9.5%,(South Africa (-8.3%). Meat imports expanded mainly in Japan (+9.4), the Russian Federation (+10.4%), Viet Nam (+7.7%) and Angola (+25.3%) ,but declined in China (-6.3%), Saudi Arabia (-11%), the EU (-4.2%) and Canada (-1.8%). Across the main meat categories, in 2017 world trade expanded in bovine, poultry and ovine meat, but pigmeat trade declined. With this development, poultry meat has become the most widely produced and internationally traded meat
type in the world.
The average international meat price increased by nearly 9 percent in 2017 over 2016. Meat export prices increased moderately from January to June 2017 but began levelling off afterwards and eased eventually. Strong import demand underpinned moderate price increases in the first half of the year, but between July and December, sluggish import demand and rises in export availabilities weighed on meat prices. Meat price increases in the first half of the year resulted in the average annual price for the whole year to exceed that of 2016. Across the meat categories, the average international price in 2017 for ovine meat rose by 25.6 percent, pigmeat by 9.8 percent, poultry meat by 8.4 percent and bovine meat by 6.3 percent.
Ovine meat prices rose due to strong import demand that outpaced export supplies from Oceania. Global markets for bovine, pig and poultry meat were well supplied, especially in the second half of the year.
(*)
Food and Agriculture Organization of The United Nations. April 2018.
٢٥
صفحة 35 الصفحة في PDF
Meat production: World total and in selected countries (١٢) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
2015
2016
2017
World
China
EU
United States
Brazil
Russian Fed.
India
Mexico
Argentina
323697
86640
47010
43252
26733
9130
7033
6371
5418
327105
86108
47932
44606
26529
9432
7153
6573
5327
330387
85812
47883
45842
27079
9812
7348
6801
5582
Change 2017
over 2016 (%)
1.0
-0.3
-0.1
2.8
2.1
4.0
2.7
3.5
4.8
Meat imports: World total and in selected countries (١٣) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
China
Japan
United States
Mexico
Viet Nam
Korea Rep of
Russian Fed.
EU
Saudi Arabia
Canada
2015
2016
2017 prelim
29890
4318
3195
2333
2029
1824
1140
1322
1319
1201
823
31161
5786
3322
2170
2100
1548
1257
1168
1341
1097
776
31563
5423
3635
2195
2167
1667
1317
1290
1286
976
762
٢٨
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
1.3
-6.3
9.4
1.2
3.2
7.7
4.7
10.4
-4.2
-11.1
-1.8
صفحة 36 الصفحة في PDF
Meat exports: World total and in selected countries (١٤) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
United States
Brazil
EU
Australia
Canada
India
Thailand
New Zealand
China
Argentina
2015
2016
2017 prelim
30540
6928
6691
4352
2217
1750
1708
963
1033
596
451
31857
7308
6967
5161
1861
1863
1665
1033
959
530
454
32711
7718
7023
4983
1905
1897
1736
1113
991
590
554
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
2.7
5.6
0.8
-3.4
2.3
1.8
4.2
7.8
3.2
11.3
22.0
Bovine meat production: World total and in selected (١٥) جدول
countries
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
United States
Brazil
EU
China
Argentina
India
Australia
2015
2016
2017 prelim
68667
10817
9425
7668
7016
2727
2518
2662
69728
11507
9284
7881
7366
2644
2522
2361
70779
11938
9553
7889
7638
2824
2553
2387
٢٩
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
1.5
3.7
2.9
0.1
3.7
6.8
1.2
1.1
صفحة 37 الصفحة في PDF
Bovine meat imports: World total and in selected countries (١٦) جدول
(‘000 tonnes in Carcass weight equivalent)
World
China
United States
Viet Nam
Japan
Russian Fed.
Korea Rep of
EU
Canada
Chile
Egypt
Mexico
2015
2016
2017 prelim
9292
1227
1467
918
739
598
382
325
323
229
360
231
9368
1423
1308
908
736
520
469
329
300
278
340
243
9770
1596
1314
1033
824
623
488
305
288
264
250
249
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
4.3
12.2
0.4
13.8
12.0
19.8
3.9
-7.3
-3.9
-5.2
-26.5
2.7
Bovine meat exports: World total and in selected countries (١٧) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
Brazil
India
United States
Australia
New Zealand
EU
Canada
Uruguay
Paraguay
Argentina
2015
2016
2017 prelim
9907
1701
1677
1223
1697
584
450
383
336
353
201
9674
1688
1638
1342
1353
537
456
420
378
360
234
10195
1858
1708
1487
1357
540
489
445
390
350
311
٣٠
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
5.4
10.0
4.2
10.8
0.3
0.6
7.3
6.2
3.2
-2.8
32.9
صفحة 38 الصفحة في PDF
موجز أسواق اللحوم المحلية :
اللحوم الحمراء من السلع الأساسية التى يحتاج اليها الانسان بجميع مراحله السنية لذلك تقوم الحكومة بجهود مكثفة للنهوض بالثروة الحيوانية للوصول للإكتفاء الذاتي من هذه السلعة وخاصة لأن الإنتاج المحلي لا يمثل الا حوالى %٥١من الاحتياجات الفعلية ويتم سد النقص عن طريق استيراد اللحوم بأنواعها حية – مبردة – مجمدة كذلك تعرض اللحوم الب ارزيلي الطازجة والسوداني بالمجمعات الإستهلاكية بأسعار تتراوح ٩٠جنيها ولها تأثير على أسعار اللحوم البلدي .بدراسة الكميات المستوردة من العجول والجمال الحية واللحوم المجمدة تلاحظ نقص الكميات الواردة خلال العام ٢٠١٣وكذلك تراجع المعروض من المواشي الحية بصورة كبيرة فى الأسواق وخاصة بمرور العديد من المناسبات منها عيد الأضحي المبارك أدي الى زيادة أسعار العجول الحية مع صدور القرار الوزاري لو ازرة الزراعة رقم ١٩٣لسنة ٢٠٠٣بعدم ذبح عجول الجاموس الذكور قبل بلوغها السنتين مالم يصل وزنها الى ٣٥٠كيلو جراما ونقص الكميات الواردة من اللحوم وزيادة أسعار الاعلاف وارتفاع سعر الصرف للدولار والعملات الأجنبية الأخري بالنسبة للجنيه المصري وكذلك
تردي الحالة الأمنية للبلاد.
٣١
صفحة 39 الصفحة في PDF
Ovine meat الغنم والماعز، لحوم الضأن:الأسواق العالمية World ovine meat output is estimated at 14.8 million tones in 2017, only 0.6 percent higher than the previous year– marking the lowest rate of expansion since 2013. This small increase was mainly driven by higher outputs in China (+1.6%) the EU (+1.8%) and Australia (+1.8%), more than offsetting a decline in New Zealand (-2.3%). In China ,sheep and goat farming is becoming large-scale operations that use extensive feeding management systems and technology, but household and small-scale husbandry is on the decline, as in other livestock systems. This transition has enabled China to increase its ovine flock and meat output. In the EU ,
sheep flock
expanded, surpassing the number of heads to over 100 million.
Competitive prices offered by the EU bolstered its import demand, in turn, providing incentives for expanding output. In Australia ,farmers were in a re-building phase, but due to drier conditions in the second part of the year, they began off-taking more animals. This along with higher carcass weight raised output by 1.8 percent to 727 000 tonnes. In contrast ,New Zealand’s output declined, particularly reflecting a lamb crop decline, influenced by a reduction of breading ewes – a lingering effect of a deeper cull in previous years. Elsewhere, ovine meat output is estimated to have increased somewhat in South Africa, Pakistan and Morocco, with possible declines in Mongolia and Sudan. Across main geographical regions, output expanded in Europe (+1.5%), Central America (+0.9), South America (+1.2%) and Asia (+0.7%); stagnated in Africa and Oceania; but declined in North
America (-1%).
World ovine meat exports is estimated at 980 000 tonnes in 2017, an increase of 7.7 percent, driven by strong import demand from China
(+13.9%),
the
United
States
(+17.4%), but also
the
Islamic
Republic of Iran ,
Malaysia, Canada
and the Republic
of
Korea.
In
contrast, imports
by the EU
declined by 13
٣٢
صفحة 40 الصفحة في PDF
percent, as domestic production rose. China’s import expansion is seen as a result of rising consumer demand, especially among the middle class, outpacing output growth. In the United States ,ovine meat has a niche market, represented by low per capita consumption, estimated at around 0.6 kg per capita. In 2017, output further declined, compelling the United States to import more from Oceania .Australia and New Zealand increased their shipments by 6.1 percent in 2017 and 6.9 percent, respectively, jointly supplying nearly 87 percent of world imports.
Ovine meat production: World total and in selected countries (١٨) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
China
EU
India
Australia
2015
2016
2017 prelim
14607
4410
908
732
755
14749
4617
877
740
715
14839
4691
893
741
727
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
0.6
1.6
1.8
0.2
1.8
Ovine meat imports: World total and in selected countries (١٩) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
China
EU
United States
UAE
Saudi Arabia
Malaysia
2015
2016
2017 prelim
934
252
166
104
56
53
34
908
245
161
104
57
41
33
962
279
140
122
58
43
39
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
5.9
13.9
-13.1
17.4
0.6
3.9
17.8
Ovine meat exports: World total and in selected countries (٢٠) جدول
(‘000 tonnes, Carcass weight equivalent)
World
Australia
New Zealand
EU
India
2015
2016
2017 prelim
960
442
400
18
22
910
428
370
16
21
980
454
396
30
23
٣٣
Change
2017 over
2016 (%)
7.7
6.1
6.9
82.8
7.3