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صفحة 65 الصفحة في PDF

Canada Beef Exports an Integral Part of Production Canada’s beef production is forecast to grow marginally to 1.25 million

tons MT carcass weight

equivalent (CWE) in 2019 following an estimated 3 percent growth in 2018 to 1.24 million tons (MTCWE) as available cattle supplies will constrain future expansion efforts. Beef exports are destined primarily for the United States which historically has accounted for over three-quarters of Canada’s shipments. The number two destination for Canadian beef has been Hong Kong, followed by Japan, Mexico, and China rounding out the top five markets in 2017. Although these four markets currently make up only 18 percent of Canada’s exports, shipments to these destinations have remained steady. Canada’s 2019 beef exports are forecast to grow 3 percent to 515,000 MT; 2018 is estimated to rise 8 percent to 500,000 MT. Exports account for approximately 40 percent of beef production each year.

For more information, contact: Tyler Cozzens | USDA-FAS, Office of

Global

Analysis,

Global

Commodity

Analysis

Division

|

Tyler.Cozzens@usda.gov, (202) 690-2993

:Chicken Meat لحم الدواجن

Global production is forecast to grow 2 percent in 2019 to a record 97.8 million tons. All major producers gain on the continuation of generally positive conditions: ample feed supplies at relatively low prices, the absence of widespread highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks and modest global demand. Brazil is expected to rebound to attain a new record fueled by export recovery and rising domestic demand supported by stronger economic growth. The European Union (EU) is also forecast to reach a new record due to growing domestic and export demand. The EU economic downturn has not negatively impacted consumption but rather has boosted demand as chicken meat is competitively priced and easy to prepare. China continues to be challenged by HPAI-related bans which limit the supply of imported genetic stock. Despite this constraint, China is forecast to rise 3 percent although production will still remain well below

historical highs.

Global exports are forecast a vigorous 4 percent higher in 2019 to a record 11.6 million tons. Leading exporters Brazil and the United States will make the largest gains, although increases by the EU, Thailand and Ukraine will also be significant. The ability to adapt to new Saudi Arabian market conditions (non-stun slaughter) will enable Brazil to benefit from strong demand in its key Middle East market. Robust Asian demand, particularly

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صفحة 67 الصفحة في PDF

Chicken Meat Production - Selected Countries Summary (٤٠) جدول

1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Oct.

Production

Brazil

12,946

13,547 13,523 13,612

13,550

13,800

European Union

10,450

10,890 11,560 12,060

12,315

12,470

China

13,156

13,561 12,448 11,600

11,700

12,000

India

3,930

4,115

4,427

4,640

4,855

5,100

Russia

3,958

4,222

4,328

4,658

4,725

4,780

Mexico

3,025

3,175

3,275

3,400

3,500

3,600

Thailand

2,499

2,692

2,813

2,990

3,120

3,250

Turkey

1,942

1,961

1,925

2,188

2,250

2,275

Argentina

2,110

2,085

2,119

2,150

2,175

2,180

Colombia

1,413

1,481

1,538

1,627

1,685

1,730

Others

14,880

15,400 15,810 15,916

16,369

16,908

Total

70,309

73,129 73,766 74,841

76,244

78,093

Foreign

United

17,542

18,208 18,510 18,938

19,350

19,709

States

Total

87,851

91,337 92,276 93,779

95,594

97,802

Total Dom. Consumption

China

12,986

13,428 12,492 11,475

11,590

11,900

European Union

10,029

10,441 11,047 11,418

11,540

11,650

Brazil

9,391

9,710

9,637

9,768

9,866

10,026

India

3,921

4,107

4,423

4,636

4,850

5,095

Russia

4,358

4,427

4,451

4,759

4,800

4,800

Mexico

3,738

3,960

4,061

4,198

4,339

4,454

Japan

2,461

2,510

2,587

2,688

2,826

2,908

Thailand

1,979

2,072

2,129

2,226

2,279

2,355

Argentina

1,833

1,899

1,969

1,978

2,060

2,045

South Africa

1,685

1,775

1,804

1,794

1,845

1,895

Others

19,323

19,993 20,630 21,271

21,551

22,315

Total

71,704

74,322 75,230 76,211

77,546

79,443

Foreign

United

14,233

15,265 15,510 15,823

16,241

16,531

States

Total

85,937

89,587 90,740 92,034

93,787

95,974

Notes: Chicken paws are excluded. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the

month in which the forecast for that year

was released.

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صفحة 68 الصفحة في PDF

Chicken Meat Trade - Selected Countries Summary (٤١) جدول

1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)

Total Imports

Japan

Mexico

European Union

Saudi Arabia

Iraq

South Africa

United Arab Emirates

China

Angola

Philippines

Others

Total Foreign

United States

Total

Total Exports

Brazil

European Union

Thailand

China

Turkey

Ukraine

Belarus

Russia

Argentina

Canada

Others

Total Foreign

United States

Total

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Oct.

888

722

712

762

698

369

225

260

365

199

3,336

8,536

54

8,590

936

790

730

863

625

457

277

268

221

205

3,209

8,581

60

8,641

973

791

763

886

661

528

296

430

205

244

3,335

9,112

61

9,173

1,056

804

693

790

656

524

417

311

267

267

3,507

9,292

59

9,351

1,140

845

650

575

620

535

408

350

310

310

3,557

9,300

63

9,363

1,175

860

680

675

640

545

415

375

340

340

3,666

9,711

64

9,775

3,558

1,133

546

430

348

168

113

50

278

137

352

7,113

3,359

10,472

3,841

1,179

622

401

292

158

135

71

187

133

357

7,376

2,932

10,308

3,889

1,276

690

386

263

236

145

104

158

134

358

7,639

3,086

10,725

3,847

1,335

757

436

357

262

150

124

178

134

319

7,899

3,140

11,039

3,685

1,425

850

460

380

300

175

150

125

125

320

7,995

3,158

11,153

3,775

1,500

900

475

400

350

185

180

145

130

331

8,371

3,248

11,619

Notes: Chicken paws are excluded. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in

which the forecast for that

year was released.

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